Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 1207.183939 1378.318254 1571.096551 1805.519025 2084.449665 2407.669666 2813.382939
2025-06-15 961.777580 1186.062908 1464.298321 1839.759411 2340.831316 2997.649956 3942.735154
2025-06-22 800.342060 1033.110719 1339.140351 1779.709949 2412.657546 3313.372433 4738.491841
2025-06-29 689.590297 922.152057 1242.111357 1727.158929 2467.293425 3595.724123 5534.341111
2025-07-06 603.237107 829.935569 1153.537301 1665.494102 2487.353306 3817.027263 6274.138349
2025-07-13 566.738871 802.427036 1151.722184 1729.261160 2707.287050 4393.968630 7772.481362
2025-07-20 526.540274 763.755422 1126.686460 1750.024429 2856.217236 4876.143113 9233.708930
2025-07-27 495.043318 734.290059 1111.332338 1782.537780 3028.318554 5433.710794 11023.548461
2025-08-03 465.989560 705.237559 1092.536044 1805.045238 3183.881859 5990.937187 13004.170711
2025-08-10 447.170291 690.524473 1095.265166 1865.247530 3421.090618 6770.274835 15820.411177
2025-08-17 425.480309 668.737995 1083.080980 1895.261766 3601.790950 7469.195765 18724.790410
2025-08-24 403.359397 644.074102 1062.978798 1906.735990 3744.595660 8115.161159 21775.545711
2025-08-31 379.709056 615.665131 1034.953181 1902.351152 3860.581649 8749.842093 25204.998937
2025-09-07 364.142795 600.358264 1029.816108 1944.901860 4095.366460 9771.333582 30606.490739
2025-09-14 337.183877 562.113131 977.346213 1879.921130 4059.801658 10039.150906 33385.107348
2025-09-21 313.958491 528.937333 931.620062 1823.804084 4036.425568 10339.092115 36517.693739
2025-09-28 291.860981 496.262180 884.054986 1757.879419 3976.723035 10516.041191 39269.623316
2025-10-05 285.675062 493.100955 894.951946 1826.043149 4285.241159 11963.384020 49243.796192
2025-10-12 275.321324 481.097509 886.651504 1848.245940 4473.183438 13082.307052 58699.917648
2025-10-19 266.864810 472.127493 883.759618 1883.021883 4705.310054 14452.945693 71235.551152
2025-10-26 258.037018 461.749919 876.899932 1907.101401 4911.870734 15818.174014 85611.384342
2025-11-02 253.044413 458.687255 885.483032 1971.531510 5259.225111 17911.324872 108721.076298
2025-11-09 245.767869 450.414806 881.823068 2003.665820 5511.798767 19733.272420 133220.830309